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wishvane

How many copies did ISLAND sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 54k–88k
$593k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before the cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left ISLAND out and predicted the genre from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including ISLAND's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.4M–3.7M
best case 4.5M (Persona 5 Royal)
Games like ISLAND

The middle of these games

≈ 2.4M–3.7M copies

≈ $16.7M–$63.2M after Steam's cut

from ~87k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Persona 5 Royal at ≈ 3.4M–5.6M copies, ≈ $56.7M–$152.4M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 7k to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Anime (3 of 3) and JRPG (2 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Story Rich, priced around $60.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut $21.6M–$49.1M before the cut
$19.99
87k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Persona 5 Royal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.6M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$56.7M–$152.4M after Steam's cut $103.0M–$234.4M before the cut
$59.99
139k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NEEDY STREAMER OVERLOAD
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$16.9M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$26.0M before the cut
$15.99
58k reviews
Very Positive

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