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How many copies did BioShock Infinite sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9.2M–14.9M
$75.8M–$203.9M after Steam's cut $137.9M–$313.7M before the cut
from 145k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left BioShock Infinite out and predicted the genre from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including BioShock Infinite's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 33.1M–36.5M
best case 31.7M (Cyberpunk 2077)
Games like BioShock Infinite

The middle of these games

≈ 33.1M–36.5M copies

≈ $442.5M–$766.8M after Steam's cut

from ~910k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Cyberpunk 2077 at ≈ 24.2M–39.3M copies, ≈ $399.0M–$1072.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (3 of 3) and Open World (2 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cyberpunk + Open World, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Red Dead Redemption 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26.2M–42.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$432.5M–$1162.8M after Steam's cut $786.3M–$1788.9M before the cut
$59.99
910k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldStory Rich
Cyberpunk 2077
2020
Est. copies
≈ 24.2M–39.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$399.0M–$1072.8M after Steam's cut $725.5M–$1650.4M before the cut
$59.99
975k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkOpen World
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.4M–47.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$80.8M–$217.4M after Steam's cut $147.0M–$334.4M before the cut
$9.99
466k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.