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wishvane

How big is Fly of butterfly?

Estimated owners
≈ 790–1k
from 26 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Fly of butterfly out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fly of butterfly's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 204–6k
best case 181k (Heliborne Collection)
Games like Fly of butterfly

The middle of these games

≈ 204–6k copies

≈ $339–$15k after Steam's cut

from ~16 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Heliborne Collection at ≈ 138k–225k copies, ≈ $1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 4 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1 to 96.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Fantasy (6 of 8) and Flight (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Military + Flight, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2025, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hikeshi-Fireman-
2021
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$55–$147 after Steam's cut $100–$226 before the cut
$3.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
CasualExperimental
Dragon Expedition
2025
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$287–$768 after Steam's cut $521–$1k before the cut
$5.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
RPGDragons
VITATIO 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9 reviews
9 user reviews
ActionCasual
The Mirum
2019
Est. copies
≈ 634–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$696–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before the cut
$3.99
22 reviews
Mixed
PuzzleEscape Room
Elmarion: Dragon time
2020
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
36x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$11k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before the cut
$2.99
563 reviews
Mostly Positive
DragonsFlight
Paladin's Lance
2021
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$81–$219 after Steam's cut $148–$337 before the cut
$2.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
ActionAdventure
Heliborne Collection
2017
Est. copies
≈ 138k–225k
259x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before the cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
MilitaryFlight
Elmarion: Dragon's Princess
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before the cut
$10.99
69 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureRPG

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