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How many copies did VALHALL: Harbinger sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–20k
$102k–$274k after Steam's cut $185k–$421k before the cut
from 498 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left VALHALL: Harbinger out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including VALHALL: Harbinger's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 52k–66k
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like VALHALL: Harbinger

The middle of these games

≈ 52k–66k copies

≈ $313k–$596k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Your picks lean toward this genre's biggest survivors; the typical figure reads from its ordinary successes.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Survival (5 of 8) and Building (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
648x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Rust
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42.4M–68.9M
893x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$466.2M–$1253.5M after Steam's cut $847.6M–$1928.4M before the cut
$39.99
1.4M reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
1760x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Northgard: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
44x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.1M–$54.0M after Steam's cut $36.5M–$83.1M before the cut
$34.99
69k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Land of the Vikings
2023
Est. copies
≈ 56k–91k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$400k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $728k–$1.7M before the cut
$25.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Skye: The Misty Isle
2024
Est. copies
≈ 942–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before the cut
$11.99
38 reviews
Mostly Negative
Early AccessPvE
Valnir Rok Survival RPG
2017
Est. copies
≈ 34k–55k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$93k–$249k after Steam's cut $168k–$383k before the cut
$9.99
979 reviews
Mixed
Open WorldSurvival
Rend
2019
Est. copies
≈ 45k–73k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mixed
AdventureSurvival

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.