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How many copies did Back 4 Blood sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
$30.0M–$80.5M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$123.9M before the cut
from 73k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Back 4 Blood out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Back 4 Blood's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.9M–21.9M
best case 87.5M (Left 4 Dead 2)
Games like Back 4 Blood

The middle of these games

≈ 8.9M–21.9M copies

≈ $178.1M–$329.9M after Steam's cut

from ~339k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Left 4 Dead 2 at ≈ 66.7M–108.4M copies, ≈ $183.2M–$492.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (6 of 8) and FPS (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Co-op, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$195.8M–$526.4M after Steam's cut $356.0M–$809.9M before the cut
$49.99
469k reviews
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SurvivalOpen World
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 66.7M–108.4M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
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SteamSpy 10M–20M
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$44.99
400k reviews
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SurvivalZombies
Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.1M–39.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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$165.8M–$445.8M after Steam's cut $301.5M–$685.8M before the cut
$24.99
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ZombiesSurvival Horror
theHunter: Call of the Wild™
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HuntingOpen World
Killing Floor 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.7M
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Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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$39.99
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Open WorldExtraction Shooter
Z1 Battle Royale
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≈ 6.2M–10.0M
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Mixed
SurvivalMassively Multiplayer

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