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How many copies did Grounded sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2.4M–3.8M
$26.1M–$70.0M after Steam's cut $47.4M–$107.8M before the cut
from 96k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Grounded out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Grounded's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 34.9M–71.6M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Grounded

The middle of these games

≈ 34.9M–71.6M copies

≈ $236.8M–$470.1M after Steam's cut

from ~1.1M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Survival (7 of 8) and Crafting (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Third-Person Shooter + Battle Royale + Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Among Us
2018
Est. copies
≈ 22.7M–36.8M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$31.1M–$83.6M after Steam's cut $56.5M–$128.6M before the cut
$4.99
745k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerSocial Deduction
Rust
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42.4M–68.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$466.2M–$1253.5M after Steam's cut $847.6M–$1928.4M before the cut
$39.99
1.4M reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting
Terraria
2011
Est. copies
≈ 97.9M–159.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$269.0M–$723.1M after Steam's cut $489.0M–$1112.5M before the cut
$9.99
1.5M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSandbox
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 66.7M–108.4M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$183.2M–$492.6M after Steam's cut $333.1M–$757.9M before the cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
ARK: Survival Evolved
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26.7M–43.4M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$110.1M–$296.0M after Steam's cut $200.2M–$455.4M before the cut
$14.99
776k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Apex Legends™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 26.4M–43.0M
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.1M reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Dead by Daylight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 38.7M–62.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$212.7M–$571.8M after Steam's cut $386.7M–$879.7M before the cut
$19.99
930k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.