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wishvane

How big is Quaver?

Estimated owners
≈ 422k–686k
from 17k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Quaver out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Quaver's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 266k–2.0M
best case 46.9M (Geometry Dash)
Games like Quaver

The middle of these games

≈ 266k–2.0M copies

≈ $1.0M–$21.9M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 35.7M–58.0M copies, ≈ $49.0M–$131.7M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Rhythm (8 of 8) and Music (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Precision Platformer + Level Editor + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

McOsu
2017
Est. copies
≈ 220k–358k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmFree to Play
A Dance of Fire and Ice
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.6M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.4M before the cut
$5.99
83k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic
Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 35.7M–58.0M
94x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.0M–$131.7M after Steam's cut $89.1M–$202.7M before the cut
$4.99
638k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic
Melody's Escape
2016
Est. copies
≈ 200k–325k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$549k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $998k–$2.3M before the cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Music-Based Procedural GenerationRhythm
MUSYNX
2018
Est. copies
≈ 206k–335k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$226k–$608k after Steam's cut $411k–$936k before the cut
$3.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic
Neon Beats
2019
Est. copies
≈ 189k–307k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayRhythm
DJMAX RESPECT V
2020
Est. copies
≈ 863k–1.4M
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut $21.6M–$49.1M before the cut
$49.99
35k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic
Beat Saber
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before the cut
$19.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRRhythm

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.