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How many copies did FIREGROUND Modern War sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before the cut
from 92 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left FIREGROUND Modern War out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FIREGROUND Modern War's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–357k
best case 7.9M (ULTRAKILL)
Games like FIREGROUND Modern War

The middle of these games

≈ 2k–357k copies

≈ $10k–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: ULTRAKILL at ≈ 6.0M–9.7M copies, ≈ $49.4M–$132.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 29 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 10 to 4k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Arena Shooter (5 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Boomer Shooter + Fast-Paced, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2024, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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ActionSurvival
Nordic Ashes: Survivors of Ragnarok
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Est. copies
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Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
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Est. copies
≈ 495k–805k
3.7x vs typical
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$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before the cut
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Metroidvania2D Platformer
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≈ 6.0M–9.7M
75x vs typical
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FPSShooter

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