How much revenue did Alan Wake make?

$15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Alan Wake sell?

Q: How many copies did Alan Wake sell?

3.7M to 6.1M copies, based on its 59k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3.7M–6.1M; $15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.7M before the cut; from 59k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Alan Wake out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alan Wake's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.6M–25.6M

best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Alan Wake

The middle of these games

≈ 8.6M–25.6M copies

≈ $104.0M–$301.0M after Steam's cut

from ~275k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Horror (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Horror (4 of 8) and Survival (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Shooter + Battle Royale + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.7M–33.6M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut	$19.99	681k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Stray 2022	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $36.3M–$97.6M after Steam's cut $66.0M–$150.1M before the cut	$29.99	177k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CatsAdventure
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 94.5M–153.6M 10x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.7M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Dead by Daylight 2016	Est. copies ≈ 38.7M–62.9M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $212.7M–$571.8M after Steam's cut $386.7M–$879.7M before the cut	$19.99	930k reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorMultiplayer
Resident Evil 4 2023	Est. copies ≈ 6.8M–11.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $74.9M–$201.3M after Steam's cut $136.1M–$309.7M before the cut	$39.99	275k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorAction
DARK SOULS™ III 2016	Est. copies ≈ 18.3M–29.7M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $301.6M–$810.8M after Steam's cut $548.3M–$1247.4M before the cut	$59.99	439k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Batman™: Arkham Knight 2015	Est. copies ≈ 7.8M–12.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $42.7M–$114.8M after Steam's cut $77.7M–$176.7M before the cut	$19.99	159k reviews Very Positive	ActionOpen World
Resident Evil 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 6.4M–10.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $70.1M–$188.4M after Steam's cut $127.4M–$289.8M before the cut	$39.99	221k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesSurvival Horror