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wishvane

How many copies did Stray sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
$36.3M–$97.6M after Steam's cut $66.0M–$150.1M before the cut
from 177k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Stray out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Stray's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 535k–1.1M
best case 1.5M (Nine Sols)
Games like Stray

The middle of these games

≈ 535k–1.1M copies

≈ $2.1M–$7.9M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Nine Sols at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $9.2M–$24.7M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1k to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (5 of 8) and Anime (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NEKOPARA Vol. 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 535k–869k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before the cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeSexual Content
NEKOPARA Vol. 1
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before the cut
$9.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HentaiAnime
Desperados III
2020
Est. copies
≈ 411k–668k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.1M after Steam's cut $8.2M–$18.7M before the cut
$39.99
17k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Real Time TacticsStrategy
The Cat Lady
2013
Est. copies
≈ 397k–646k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$982k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before the cut
$8.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Nine Sols
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.7M after Steam's cut $16.7M–$38.1M before the cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Very Positive
NEKOPARA Vol. 3
2017
Est. copies
≈ 414k–672k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before the cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HentaiSexual Content
A Space for the Unbound
2023
Est. copies
≈ 193k–314k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before the cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichPixel Graphics
Night in the Woods
2017
Est. copies
≈ 695k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.8M before the cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichAdventure

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