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How many copies did Ninja Girl and the Mysterious Army of Urban Legend Monsters! ~Hunt of the Headless Horseman~ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before the cut
from 84 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Ninja Girl and the Mysterious Army of Urban Legend Monsters! ~Hunt of the Headless Horseman~ out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ninja Girl and the Mysterious Army of Urban Legend Monsters! ~Hunt of the Headless Horseman~'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–5.3M
best case 10.2M (Doki Doki Literature Club!)
Games like Ninja Girl and the Mysterious Army of Urban Legend Monsters! ~Hunt of the Headless Horseman~

The middle of these games

≈ 1.9M–5.3M copies

≈ $14.2M–$16.2M after Steam's cut

from ~58k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Doki Doki Literature Club! at ≈ 7.8M–12.7M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 447 to 49k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Anime (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Visual Novel.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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too small to compare
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NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 4
2016
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≈ 3.8M–6.1M
1.6x vs typical
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AnimeFighting
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≈ 915k–1.5M
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Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
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≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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NARUTO TO BORUTO: SHINOBI STRIKER
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≈ 1.4M–2.3M
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Doki Doki Literature Club!
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.7M
3.9x vs typical
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Est. revenue
Free
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227k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

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