How many copies did Neverwinter sell?

2.5M to 4.1M copies, based on its 40k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Neverwinter make?

Neverwinter is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Neverwinter?

Estimated owners: ≈ 2.5M–4.1M; from 40k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Neverwinter out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Neverwinter's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.1M–7.5M

best case 35.1M (ARK: Survival Evolved)

Games like Neverwinter

The middle of these games

≈ 6.1M–7.5M copies

≈ $57.6M–$75.7M after Steam's cut

from ~120k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: ARK: Survival Evolved at ≈ 26.7M–43.4M copies, ≈ $110.1M–$296.0M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on MMORPG (7 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Survival + Dinosaurs; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Trove 2015	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	93k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayOpen World
FINAL FANTASY XIV Online 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.8M–7.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $26.3M–$70.8M after Steam's cut $47.9M–$108.9M before the cut	$19.99	85k reviews Very Positive	MMORPGRPG
ARK: Survival Evolved 2017	Est. copies ≈ 26.7M–43.4M 6.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $110.1M–$296.0M after Steam's cut $200.2M–$455.4M before the cut	$14.99	776k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Path of Exile 2013	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.6M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	250k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayDark Fantasy
SMITE® 2015	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	120k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayMOBA
Path of Exile 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $45.9M–$123.5M after Steam's cut $83.5M–$190.0M before the cut	$29.99	225k reviews Mostly Positive	Action RPGHack and Slash
Lost Ark 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.2M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	203k reviews Mostly Positive	MMORPGFree to Play
Albion Online 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	93k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayMMORPG