Sign in
wishvane

How big is Lost Ark?

Estimated owners
≈ 5.0M–8.2M
from 203k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Lost Ark out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lost Ark's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–3.8M
best case 20.7M (Path of Exile)
Games like Lost Ark

The middle of these games

≈ 2.1M–3.8M copies

≈ $48.5M after Steam's cut

from ~44k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Path of Exile at ≈ 15.8M–25.6M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on MMORPG (6 of 8) and Action RPG (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dark Fantasy + Action RPG, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Dark Fantasy + Hack and Slash + Action RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Path of Exile
2013
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.6M
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
250k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayDark Fantasy
Realm of the Mad God Exalt
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
48k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsMMORPG
FINAL FANTASY XIV Online
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.8M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.3M–$70.8M after Steam's cut $47.9M–$108.9M before the cut
$19.99
85k reviews
Very Positive
MMORPGRPG
Path of Exile 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$45.9M–$123.5M after Steam's cut $83.5M–$190.0M before the cut
$29.99
225k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RPGHack and Slash
Neverwinter
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMMORPG
Dungeon Defenders II
2017
Est. copies
≈ 762k–1.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
22k reviews
Mostly Positive
MultiplayerOnline Co-Op
STAR WARS™: The Old Republic™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
75k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
Spiral Knights
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
24k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMassively Multiplayer

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.