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How many copies did ARISEN - Chronicles of Var'Nagal sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$9k–$26k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before the cut
from 87 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left ARISEN - Chronicles of Var'Nagal out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ARISEN - Chronicles of Var'Nagal's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 174k–281k
best case 1.5M (Love Is All Around)
Games like ARISEN - Chronicles of Var'Nagal

The middle of these games

≈ 174k–281k copies

≈ $1.0M–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Love Is All Around at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 832 to 27k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Choices Matter (6 of 8) and Romance (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Retro + Sexual Content; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Emily is Away
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
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32k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStory Rich
Love, Money, Rock'n'Roll
2022
Est. copies
≈ 177k–288k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$487k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $885k–$2.0M before the cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Love Is All Around
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
7.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before the cut
$9.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimSexual Content
Our Life: Beginnings & Always
2020
Est. copies
≈ 340k–553k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelRomance
I Wani Hug that Gator!
2024
Est. copies
≈ 142k–230k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$585k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before the cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Storyteller
2023
Est. copies
≈ 226k–367k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$931k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before the cut
$14.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleInteractive Fiction
Left on Read
2020
Est. copies
≈ 130k–211k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayRomance
Stray Gods: The Roleplaying Musical
2023
Est. copies
≈ 97k–157k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$799k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before the cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Interactive FictionStory Rich

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