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How many copies did Nikopol: Secrets of the Immortals sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25k–40k
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$141k before the cut
from 394 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Nikopol: Secrets of the Immortals out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nikopol: Secrets of the Immortals's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.8M–7.4M
best case 18.7M (DayZ)
Games like Nikopol: Secrets of the Immortals

The middle of these games

≈ 6.8M–7.4M copies

≈ $56.3M–$85.6M after Steam's cut

from ~195k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: DayZ at ≈ 14.2M–23.1M copies, ≈ $195.8M–$526.4M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (6 of 8) and Third Person (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Survival + Online Co-Op + Zombies; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grand Theft Auto IV: Complete Edition
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Open WorldAction
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
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≈ 5.6M–9.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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ManagementSingleplayer
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey
2018
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≈ 5.7M–9.3M
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$94.2M–$253.2M after Steam's cut $171.3M–$389.6M before the cut
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Open WorldRPG
DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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$195.8M–$526.4M after Steam's cut $356.0M–$809.9M before the cut
$49.99
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SurvivalOpen World
Kingdom Come: Deliverance
2018
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≈ 5.6M–9.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$46.4M–$124.8M after Steam's cut $84.4M–$192.0M before the cut
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MedievalRPG
Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$27.6M–$74.1M after Steam's cut $50.1M–$114.0M before the cut
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Open WorldAction
The Walking Dead
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$20.9M–$56.2M after Steam's cut $38.0M–$86.5M before the cut
$14.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesStory Rich
The Elder Scrolls® Online
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≈ 5.6M–9.0M
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Est. revenue
$30.5M–$82.1M after Steam's cut $55.5M–$126.2M before the cut
$19.99
161k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMMORPG

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