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How many copies did Hades II sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
$25.1M–$67.4M after Steam's cut $45.6M–$103.7M before the cut
from 123k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Hades II out and predicted the genre from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Hades II's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.9M–20.9M
best case 33.1M (The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth)
Games like Hades II

The middle of these games

≈ 6.9M–20.9M copies

≈ $28.6M–$116.2M after Steam's cut

from ~265k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth at ≈ 25.2M–41.0M copies, ≈ $104.0M–$279.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action Roguelike (2 of 3) and Bullet Hell (1 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $15.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Vampire Survivors
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.2M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.3M before the cut
$4.99
265k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth
2014
Est. copies
≈ 25.2M–41.0M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$104.0M–$279.6M after Steam's cut $189.1M–$430.1M before the cut
$14.99
450k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
DAVE THE DIVER
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.0M–$59.2M after Steam's cut $40.0M–$91.0M before the cut
$19.99
161k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsCasual

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