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How many copies did Aliens: Dark Descent sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 463k–753k
$5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before the cut
from 19k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Aliens: Dark Descent out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Aliens: Dark Descent's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 428k–1.0M
best case 3.6M (STAR WARS™ Empire at War - Gold Pack)
Games like Aliens: Dark Descent

The middle of these games

≈ 428k–1.0M copies

≈ $4.7M–$10.6M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: STAR WARS™ Empire at War - Gold Pack at ≈ 2.7M–4.4M copies, ≈ $15.0M–$40.2M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on RTS (8 of 8) and Sci-fi (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with RTS + Space, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Moddable + Mod + Space; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II - Anniversary Edition (Classic)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 879k–1.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before the cut
$49.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Warhammer 40KStrategy
Halo Wars: Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 327k–532k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before the cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War II: Retribution
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 325k–528k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13k reviews
Very Positive
Warhammer 40KStrategy
Starship Troopers: Terran Command
2022
Est. copies
≈ 298k–484k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before the cut
$29.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Homeworld Remastered Collection
2015
Est. copies
≈ 691k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.6M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.5M before the cut
$34.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceStrategy
STAR WARS™ Empire at War - Gold Pack
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.0M–$40.2M after Steam's cut $27.2M–$61.9M before the cut
$19.99
43k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyRTS
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War - Anniversary Edition (Classic)
2007
Est. copies
≈ 753k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.8M before the cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Supreme Commander 2
2010
Est. copies
≈ 819k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before the cut
$12.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS

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