wishvane
How many copies did Fallout 76 sell?
Estimated copies sold
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
$40.5M–$108.8M net $73.6M–$167.3M gross
from 139k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Fallout 76 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fallout 76's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11.5M–27.7M
best case 55.0M (Rust)
The Open World lane

A big, proven genre, though hit-driven: most sell around 18.5M copies, while a few break out far above.

A typical game
≈ 18.5M copies
≈ $230.9M after Steam's cut
from ~458k reviews
Best case
≈ 55.0M copies
Rust · ≈ $850.0M after Steam's cut
from 1.4M reviews
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

7 of your 8 games sit in the typical range; 1 is a breakout hit far above it.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count; typical figures are medians per column, so they can come from different games.

The lane you'd be entering
  • Winners here lead with Survival + Crafting, priced around $40.
  • The breakout hits carry Building + Crafting + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
  • The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, a lane with a long track record.
  • A typical game here lands in Diamond ($1M+ before Steam's cut, est.). Tiers: Chris Zukowski's benchmark tiers.

Similar games

2018
Est. copies
≈ 41.9M–68.1M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$460.8M–$1239.1M net $837.9M–$1906.2M gross
$39.99
1.4M reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting +6
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.7M–15.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$119.5M–$321.2M net $217.2M–$494.2M gross
$44.99
402k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies +6
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.5M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
564k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival +6
2013
Est. copies
≈ 23.8M–38.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$130.9M–$352.0M net $238.0M–$541.5M gross
$19.99
458k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies +6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.1M–22.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$194.1M–$522.0M net $353.0M–$803.0M gross
$49.99
465k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World +6
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.2M–8.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$85.6M–$230.2M net $155.7M–$354.1M gross
$59.99
216k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldCo-op +6
2019
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$65.3M–$175.6M net $118.8M–$270.2M gross
$29.99
275k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldExtraction Shooter +6
2015
Est. copies
≈ 22.7M–37.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$156.3M–$420.3M net $284.3M–$646.7M gross
$24.99
490k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror +6

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.

Copies and revenue are rough estimates from public review counts, not exact sales. Data from Steam and SteamSpy. About · Privacy · Examples