How much revenue did Fallout 76 make?

$38.3M–$102.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Fallout 76 sell?

Q: How many copies did Fallout 76 sell?

3.5M to 5.7M copies, based on its 140k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3.5M–5.7M; $38.3M–$102.9M after Steam's cut $69.6M–$158.3M before the cut; from 140k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Fallout 76 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fallout 76's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11.8M–28.6M

best case 55.6M (Rust)

Games like Fallout 76

The middle of these games

≈ 11.8M–28.6M copies

≈ $180.5M–$347.3M after Steam's cut

from ~469k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Rust at ≈ 42.4M–68.9M copies, ≈ $466.2M–$1253.5M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Open World (8 of 8) and Survival (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Crafting, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Building + Crafting + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Rust 2018	Est. copies ≈ 42.4M–68.9M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $466.2M–$1253.5M after Steam's cut $847.6M–$1928.4M before the cut	$39.99	1.4M reviews Very Positive	SurvivalCrafting
7 Days to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $122.7M–$330.0M after Steam's cut $223.1M–$507.7M before the cut	$44.99	400k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
Unturned 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19.4M–31.6M SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	565k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlaySurvival
Project Zomboid 2013	Est. copies ≈ 30.2M–49.0M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $207.3M–$557.3M after Steam's cut $376.9M–$857.4M before the cut	$24.99	477k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
DayZ 2018	Est. copies ≈ 14.2M–23.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $195.8M–$526.4M after Steam's cut $356.0M–$809.9M before the cut	$49.99	469k reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalOpen World
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.4M–8.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $89.6M–$240.8M after Steam's cut $162.8M–$370.5M before the cut	$59.99	219k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldCo-op
Hunt: Showdown 1896 2019	Est. copies ≈ 8.0M–13.0M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $87.8M–$236.2M after Steam's cut $159.7M–$363.4M before the cut	$39.99	277k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldExtraction Shooter
Dying Light 2015	Est. copies ≈ 24.1M–39.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $165.8M–$445.8M after Steam's cut $301.5M–$685.8M before the cut	$24.99	494k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesSurvival Horror