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How big is An Occurrence at Owl Creek Bridge?

Estimated owners
≈ 2k–3k
from 59 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left An Occurrence at Owl Creek Bridge out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including An Occurrence at Owl Creek Bridge's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 38k–194k
best case 267k (Zeno Clash)
Games like An Occurrence at Owl Creek Bridge

The middle of these games

≈ 38k–194k copies

≈ $70k–$467k after Steam's cut

from ~937 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Short (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Zeno Clash at ≈ 203k–330k copies, ≈ $558k–$1.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Short (4 of 8) and Surreal (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Surreal + Beat 'em up, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Journey Down: Chapter Two
2014
Est. copies
≈ 31k–51k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$129k–$347k after Steam's cut $235k–$534k before the cut
$14.99
559 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericNoir
Samorost 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 184k–300k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$253k–$680k after Steam's cut $460k–$1.0M before the cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickCasual
Zeno Clash
2009
Est. copies
≈ 203k–330k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$558k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before the cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ActionSurreal
D'LIRIUM
2023
Est. copies
≈ 28k–45k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$38k–$103k after Steam's cut $69k–$158k before the cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Top-Down ShooterAction-Adventure
Pink Heaven
2015
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
752 reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayIndie
Awareness Rooms
2016
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$33k–$88k after Steam's cut $59k–$135k before the cut
$4.99
572 reviews
Very Positive
IndieAdventure
Don't Kill the Cow
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3k–6k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
118 reviews
Very Positive
IndieShort
Temporality
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
146 reviews
Very Positive
Indie2D

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.