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How many copies did Moncage sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 138k–224k
$567k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before the cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Moncage out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Moncage's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 94k–524k
best case 580k (Sanfu)
Games like Moncage

The middle of these games

≈ 94k–524k copies

≈ $481k–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Sanfu at ≈ 442k–719k copies, ≈ $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 611 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 366 to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (6 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mystery + Drama, priced around $11.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Dream Machine: Chapter 1 & 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 142k–230k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$155k–$418k after Steam's cut $283k–$643k before the cut
$3.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickHand-drawn
Layers of Fear 2 (2019)
2019
Est. copies
≈ 73k–118k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$400k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $727k–$1.7M before the cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
The Cat Lady
2013
Est. copies
≈ 397k–646k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$982k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before the cut
$8.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Detention
2017
Est. copies
≈ 406k–660k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before the cut
$11.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorIndie
Sanfu
2023
Est. copies
≈ 442k–719k
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before the cut
$10.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryRPG
The Bookwalker: Thief of Tales
2023
Est. copies
≈ 70k–113k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$287k–$772k after Steam's cut $522k–$1.2M before the cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureSingleplayer
Quern - Undying Thoughts
2016
Est. copies
≈ 169k–275k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before the cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle
A Guidebook of Babel
2023
Est. copies
≈ 44k–72k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$183k–$491k after Steam's cut $332k–$755k before the cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureStory Rich

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