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How many copies did Detroit: Become Human sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
$71.2M–$191.3M after Steam's cut $129.4M–$294.4M before the cut
from 261k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Detroit: Become Human out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Detroit: Become Human's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.2M–13.9M
best case 56.7M (The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition)
Games like Detroit: Become Human

The middle of these games

≈ 7.2M–13.9M copies

≈ $70.7M–$169.4M after Steam's cut

from ~182k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition at ≈ 43.2M–70.2M copies, ≈ $593.9M–$1596.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (5 of 8) and Choices Matter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $50.
The era
The games you compared span 2008 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Life is Strange - Episode 1
2015
Est. copies
≈ 8.6M–13.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
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Story RichChoices Matter
S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$56.2M–$151.0M after Steam's cut $102.1M–$232.3M before the cut
$59.99
137k reviews
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Open WorldFPS
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$89.6M–$240.8M after Steam's cut $162.8M–$370.5M before the cut
$59.99
219k reviews
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Open WorldCo-op
The Witcher 2: Assassins of Kings Enhanced Edition
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$31.4M–$84.3M after Steam's cut $57.0M–$129.7M before the cut
$19.99
90k reviews
Very Positive
RPGFantasy
The Witcher: Enhanced Edition Director's Cut
2008
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–9.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.2M–$40.7M after Steam's cut $27.6M–$62.7M before the cut
$9.99
87k reviews
Very Positive
RPGFantasy
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.2M–$253.2M after Steam's cut $171.3M–$389.6M before the cut
$59.99
188k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.2M–70.2M
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$593.9M–$1596.9M after Steam's cut $1079.9M–$2456.7M before the cut
$49.99
885k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Undertale
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16.5M–26.8M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut $82.4M–$187.6M before the cut
$9.99
338k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich

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