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How many copies did Ultimate MMA sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–9k
$9k–$23k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before the cut
from 211 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Ultimate MMA out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ultimate MMA's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 70k–288k
best case 709k (Drunken Wrestlers 2)
Games like Ultimate MMA

The middle of these games

≈ 70k–288k copies

≈ $232k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Drunken Wrestlers 2 at ≈ 540k–878k copies, ≈ $593k–$1.6M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 324 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Fighting (6 of 8) and Sports (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fighting + Physics, priced around $4.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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3.7x vs typical
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$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before the cut
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WWE 2K17
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Est. copies
≈ 58k–95k
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SportsWrestling
Drunken Wrestlers 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 540k–878k
6.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$593k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before the cut
$3.99
19k reviews
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Early AccessMultiplayer
WWE 2K19
2018
Est. copies
≈ 113k–184k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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Street Warriors Online
2016
Est. copies
≈ 67k–110k
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$37k–$99k after Steam's cut $67k–$153k before the cut
$1.99
2k reviews
Mixed
FightingAction
Super Blood Hockey
2017
Est. copies
≈ 38k–62k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$159k–$426k after Steam's cut $288k–$656k before the cut
$14.99
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SportsHockey
Fight Crab
2020
Est. copies
≈ 23k–37k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$126k–$338k after Steam's cut $229k–$520k before the cut
$19.99
923 reviews
Very Positive
Spectacle fighterSports

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