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How big is Heart Fragment?

Estimated owners
≈ 8k–14k
from 340 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Heart Fragment out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heart Fragment's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 77k–151k
best case 557k (Hatoful Boyfriend)
Games like Heart Fragment

The middle of these games

≈ 77k–151k copies

≈ $490k–$652k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hatoful Boyfriend at ≈ 424k–689k copies, ≈ $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Female Protagonist (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Dating Sim, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Magical Diary: Horse Hall
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Female ProtagonistOtome
Hatoful Boyfriend
2014
Est. copies
≈ 424k–689k
3.6x vs typical
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$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before the cut
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Very Positive
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Visual NovelRomance

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.