How many copies did Virtual Cottage sell?

275k to 446k copies, based on its 11k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Virtual Cottage make?

Virtual Cottage is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Virtual Cottage?

Estimated owners: ≈ 275k–446k; from 11k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Virtual Cottage out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Virtual Cottage's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 465k–660k

best case 1.9M (PowerWash Simulator)

Games like Virtual Cottage

The middle of these games

≈ 465k–660k copies

≈ $1.8M–$3.4M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: PowerWash Simulator at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $10.0M–$26.8M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 321 to 24k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Cozy (5 of 8) and Sandbox (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + First-Person, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Simulation + First-Person + 3D; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: Only 2 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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