How much revenue did Scrapnaut: Prologue make?

Scrapnaut: Prologue is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Scrapnaut: Prologue sell?

Q: How many copies did Scrapnaut: Prologue sell?

17k to 28k copies, based on its 702 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 17k–28k; from 702 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Scrapnaut: Prologue out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Scrapnaut: Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9.4M–16.3M

best case 35.1M (ARK: Survival Evolved)

Games like Scrapnaut: Prologue

The middle of these games

≈ 9.4M–16.3M copies

≈ $107.2M–$187.3M after Steam's cut

from ~348k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: ARK: Survival Evolved at ≈ 26.7M–43.4M copies, ≈ $110.1M–$296.0M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 132k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 86k to 184k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Crafting (8 of 8) and Base-Building (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $15.
The era: 4 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this niche is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Valheim 2021	Est. copies ≈ 13.4M–21.8M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $110.6M–$297.4M after Steam's cut $201.1M–$457.5M before the cut	$29.99	541k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
ARK: Survival Evolved 2017	Est. copies ≈ 26.7M–43.4M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $110.1M–$296.0M after Steam's cut $200.2M–$455.4M before the cut	$14.99	776k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Raft 2022	Est. copies ≈ 9.4M–15.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $51.5M–$138.4M after Steam's cut $93.6M–$213.0M before the cut	$19.99	378k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalMultiplayer
Factorio 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.8M–9.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $55.8M–$150.2M after Steam's cut $101.5M–$231.0M before the cut	$35.00	234k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationBase-Building
Sons Of The Forest 2024	Est. copies ≈ 7.9M–12.8M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $65.0M–$174.9M after Steam's cut $118.2M–$269.0M before the cut	$29.99	318k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World
Scrap Mechanic 2026	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.9M too small to compare SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.2M–$65.0M after Steam's cut $43.9M–$100.0M before the cut	$28.99	122k reviews Very Positive	BuildingSandbox
Satisfactory 2024	Est. copies ≈ 6.9M–11.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $76.0M–$204.4M after Steam's cut $138.2M–$314.4M before the cut	$39.99	279k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Base-BuildingAutomation
V Rising 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M too small to compare SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $32.6M–$87.8M after Steam's cut $59.4M–$135.0M before the cut	$34.99	137k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World