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How many copies did Scarlet Hollow — Episode 1 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 18k–28k
from 706 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Scarlet Hollow — Episode 1 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Scarlet Hollow — Episode 1's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–3.2M
best case 21.7M (Undertale)
Games like Scarlet Hollow — Episode 1

The middle of these games

≈ 1.5M–3.2M copies

≈ $12.2M–$28.9M after Steam's cut

from ~43k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Undertale at ≈ 16.5M–26.8M copies, ≈ $45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 332 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (8 of 8) and Choices Matter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Pixel Graphics + Funny; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Emily is Away
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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$16.0M–$42.9M after Steam's cut $29.0M–$66.0M before the cut
$49.99
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Choices MatterStory Rich
BioShock™ Remastered
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.8M–$39.8M after Steam's cut $26.9M–$61.3M before the cut
$19.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley
2023
Est. copies
≈ 971k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before the cut
$11.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PsychologicalDark Comedy
Undertale
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16.5M–26.8M
7.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut $82.4M–$187.6M before the cut
$9.99
338k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
The Walking Dead: Season Two
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.6M before the cut
$14.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesAdventure
Beyond: Two Souls
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.2M before the cut
$19.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureChoices Matter
The Walking Dead
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.9M–$56.2M after Steam's cut $38.0M–$86.5M before the cut
$14.99
80k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesStory Rich

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