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wishvane

How many copies did PolygonDuty sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$410–$1k after Steam's cut $745–$2k before the cut
from 12 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left PolygonDuty out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including PolygonDuty's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 138–635
best case 10.3M (Sons Of The Forest)
Games like PolygonDuty

The middle of these games

≈ 138–635 copies

≈ $53–$1k after Steam's cut

from ~7 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Sons Of The Forest at ≈ 7.9M–12.8M copies, ≈ $65.0M–$174.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
The games that made it here had under 178k reviews in their first month.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Survival Horror (5 of 8) and Action-Adventure (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Survival Horror, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Survival + Horror + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
Only 1 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sons Of The Forest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.8M
45423x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$65.0M–$174.9M after Steam's cut $118.2M–$269.0M before the cut
$29.99
318k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
多边星球 Multilateral Planet
2023
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$122–$329 after Steam's cut $222–$506 before the cut
$1.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
Action-AdventureSurvival Horror
SAVAGE
2020
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$34–$91 after Steam's cut $61–$140 before the cut
$0.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
AdventureAction
Resident Evil 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 6.8M–11.1M
39216x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$74.9M–$201.3M after Steam's cut $136.1M–$309.7M before the cut
$39.99
275k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorAction
Bail or Jail(OBAKEIDORO!)
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
34x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$32k–$87k after Steam's cut $59k–$133k before the cut
$19.99
236 reviews
Very Positive
CasualMultiplayer
Taoist priest Yan
2021
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$782–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before the cut
$4.99
23 reviews
Positive
HorrorSupernatural
追杀
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before the cut
$2.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
Casual Commando
2021
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$27–$73 after Steam's cut $49–$112 before the cut
$0.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
ActionAdventure

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