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How many copies did Tennis Manager 2021 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–9k
$16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before the cut
from 232 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Tennis Manager 2021 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tennis Manager 2021's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 686k–994k
best case 1.3M (F1® 2020)
Games like Tennis Manager 2021

The middle of these games

≈ 686k–994k copies

≈ $6.0M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: F1® 2020 at ≈ 990k–1.6M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 5k to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Simulation (8 of 8) and Sports (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Simulation.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$19.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
ManagementRacing
Football Manager 2019
2018
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Free
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Football Manager 2024
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SimulationSports
Football Manager 2021
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≈ 591k–961k
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SportsSimulation
F1® 2020
2020
Est. copies
≈ 990k–1.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
Football Manager 2020
2019
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Free
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SimulationSports
Football Manager 2023
2022
Est. copies
≈ 492k–799k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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SimulationSports
Football Manager 2022
2021
Est. copies
≈ 533k–867k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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SportsManagement

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