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How many copies did Rubber Bandits: Christmas Prologue sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 27k–44k
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Rubber Bandits: Christmas Prologue out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rubber Bandits: Christmas Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 329k–1.7M
best case 15.3M (Fall Guys)
Games like Rubber Bandits: Christmas Prologue

The middle of these games

≈ 329k–1.7M copies

≈ $2.0M–$10.6M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Fall Guys at ≈ 11.6M–18.9M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 57 to 144k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Party Game (5 of 8) and Party (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game + Battle Royale. The breakout hits carry Massively Multiplayer + Battle Royale + Family Friendly; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
38x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
469k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
Rubber Bandits
2021
Est. copies
≈ 178k–290k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$490k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $890k–$2.0M before the cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Family FriendlyParty Game
Pummel Party
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.2M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$29.9M before the cut
$14.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFunny
Draw & Guess
2021
Est. copies
≈ 872k–1.4M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before the cut
$4.99
35k reviews
Very Positive
PartyMultiplayer
Deceive Inc.
2023
Est. copies
≈ 195k–317k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before the cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Social DeductionHeist
Dr. Langeskov, The Tiger, and The Terribly Cursed Emerald: A Whirlwind Heist
2015
Est. copies
≈ 497k–807k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayComedy
Super Bunny Man
2023
Est. copies
≈ 306k–498k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before the cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerSandbox
Gang Beasts
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.1M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.5M before the cut
$19.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
FunnyPhysics

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