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How many copies did METALLIC CHILD sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 31k–50k
$211k–$568k after Steam's cut $384k–$873k before the cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left METALLIC CHILD out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including METALLIC CHILD's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 932k–3.9M
best case 4.2M (Cult of the Lamb)
Games like METALLIC CHILD

The middle of these games

≈ 932k–3.9M copies

≈ $7.1M–$21.4M after Steam's cut

from ~49k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Cult of the Lamb at ≈ 3.2M–5.2M copies, ≈ $21.9M–$58.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 42k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action Roguelike (6 of 8) and Rogue-like (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Base-Building + Action Roguelike, priced around $25.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Skul: The Hero Slayer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.1M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.5M before the cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Moonlighter
2018
Est. copies
≈ 723k–1.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.4M before the cut
$19.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
Hack and SlashPixel Graphics
Spelunky 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 543k–883k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.0M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.4M before the cut
$19.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
Platformer2D Platformer
Cult of the Lamb
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.9M–$58.9M after Steam's cut $39.9M–$90.7M before the cut
$24.99
129k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Base-BuildingCute
PlateUp!
2022
Est. copies
≈ 670k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before the cut
$19.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
Brotato
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.8M after Steam's cut $7.3M–$16.6M before the cut
$4.99
118k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSingleplayer
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.6M before the cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
HoloCure - Save the Fans!
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsBullet Hell

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