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How many copies did IL-2 Sturmovik: 1946 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 203k–329k
$557k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left IL-2 Sturmovik: 1946 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including IL-2 Sturmovik: 1946's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 200k–516k
best case 64.7M (War Thunder)
Games like IL-2 Sturmovik: 1946

The middle of these games

≈ 200k–516k copies

≈ $2.8M–$9.2M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.3M–80.1M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Flight (7 of 8) and World War II (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat. The breakout hits carry Vehicular Combat + Combat + VR; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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IL-2 Sturmovik: Battle of Stalingrad
2014
Est. copies
≈ 555k–902k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$7.6M–$20.5M after Steam's cut $13.9M–$31.6M before the cut
$49.99
10k reviews
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FlightRealistic
Battlestations Pacific
2009
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World War IIStrategy
War Thunder
2013
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≈ 49.3M–80.1M
173x vs typical
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Free
780k reviews
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Free to PlaySimulation
Rise of Flight United
2013
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≈ 173k–281k
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SimulationFlight
World of Warplanes
2022
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≈ 140k–227k
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LUFTRAUSERS
2014
Est. copies
≈ 253k–411k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$695k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before the cut
$9.99
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Very Positive
IndieBullet Hell
Bomber Crew
2017
Est. copies
≈ 533k–866k
3.4x vs typical
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$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before the cut
$15.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
World War IISimulation

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