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How many copies did Saiko no sutoka sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 96k–155k
$131k–$353k after Steam's cut $238k–$542k before the cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Saiko no sutoka out and predicted the genre from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including Saiko no sutoka's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.6M–27.2M
best case 40.4M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like Saiko no sutoka

The middle of these games

≈ 4.6M–27.2M copies

≈ $25.7M–$110.9M after Steam's cut

from ~268k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 30.8M–50.0M copies, ≈ $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (4 of 5) and Horror (3 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of your 5 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

MiSide
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.5M–$39.0M after Steam's cut $26.3M–$59.9M before the cut
$14.99
142k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRChat
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
268k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRFree to Play
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.7M–33.6M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut
$19.99
681k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Outlast 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.7M after Steam's cut $22.1M–$50.3M before the cut
$19.99
64k reviews
Very Positive
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities

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