Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Melatonin sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 203k–329k
$835k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before the cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Melatonin out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Melatonin's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 669k–3.5M
best case 4.6M (Muse Dash)
Games like Melatonin

The middle of these games

≈ 669k–3.5M copies

≈ $4.1M–$6.9M after Steam's cut

from ~55k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Muse Dash at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Rhythm (4 of 4) and Music (3 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Rhythm, priced around $3.
The era
2 of your 4 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this niche is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Muse Dash
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before the cut
$2.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
Rhythm Doctor
2025
Est. copies
≈ 667k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before the cut
$19.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmMusic
Sixtar Gate: STARTRAIL
2024
Est. copies
≈ 39k–63k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$268k–$722k after Steam's cut $488k–$1.1M before the cut
$24.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
ActionCasual
A Dance of Fire and Ice
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.6M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.4M before the cut
$5.99
83k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.