How much revenue did CARNAL make?

$2k–$6k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did CARNAL sell?

Q: How many copies did CARNAL sell?

8k to 14k copies, based on its 341 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 8k–14k; $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before the cut; from 341 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left CARNAL out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including CARNAL's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 860k–2.2M

best case 7.9M (ULTRAKILL)

Games like CARNAL

The middle of these games

≈ 860k–2.2M copies

≈ $6.2M–$7.8M after Steam's cut

from ~27k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: ULTRAKILL at ≈ 6.0M–9.7M copies, ≈ $49.4M–$132.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 11k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on FPS (8 of 8) and Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Blood + Character Action Game; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 1998 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Half-Life 1998	Est. copies ≈ 10.3M–16.8M 6.0x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $28.4M–$76.4M after Steam's cut $51.6M–$117.5M before the cut	$9.99	164k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSClassic
DUSK 2018	Est. copies ≈ 774k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.3M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before the cut	$19.99	25k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Boomer ShooterFPS
Roboquest 2023	Est. copies ≈ 604k–981k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.2M before the cut	$24.99	24k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSAction Roguelike
Sven Co-op 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	32k reviews Very Positive	Co-op FPS
ULTRAKILL 2020	Est. copies ≈ 6.0M–9.7M 8.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.4M–$132.9M after Steam's cut $89.9M–$204.5M before the cut	$29.99	242k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Boomer ShooterFast-Paced
Cruelty Squad 2021	Est. copies ≈ 616k–1.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.0M before the cut	$19.99	25k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CapitalismSurreal
DOOM + DOOM II 2007	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.0M–$13.5M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.8M before the cut	$9.99	29k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSClassic
Half-Life: Opposing Force 1999	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before the cut	$4.99	29k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSAction