How much revenue did Lil Gator Game make?

$832k–$2.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Lil Gator Game sell?

Q: How many copies did Lil Gator Game sell?

151k to 246k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 151k–246k; $832k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before the cut; from 6k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Lil Gator Game out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Lil Gator Game's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 739k–1.4M

best case 1.7M (Spiritfarer®: Farewell Edition)

Games like Lil Gator Game

The middle of these games

≈ 739k–1.4M copies

≈ $2.9M–$12.7M after Steam's cut

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Exploration (2 of 4), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Spiritfarer®: Farewell Edition at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $10.9M–$29.3M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 321 to 4k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Exploration (2 of 4) and Puzzle (2 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with Emotional + Story Rich, priced around $30.
The era: None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
TOEM: A Photo Adventure 2021	Est. copies ≈ 298k–485k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before the cut	$19.99	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CozyWholesome
Unpacking 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.6M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.5M–$14.9M after Steam's cut $10.1M–$22.9M before the cut	$19.99	41k reviews Very Positive	RelaxingCute
Spiritfarer®: Farewell Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.9M–$29.3M after Steam's cut $19.8M–$45.0M before the cut	$29.99	53k reviews Very Positive	EmotionalStory Rich
A Short Hike 2019	Est. copies ≈ 651k–1.1M SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before the cut	$7.99	23k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ExplorationRelaxing