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How many copies did Selaco sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 126k–205k
$869k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before the cut
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Selaco out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Selaco's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.4M–30.7M
best case 98.8M (Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege)
Games like Selaco

The middle of these games

≈ 4.4M–30.7M copies

≈ $43.5M–$171.9M after Steam's cut

from ~229k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege at ≈ 75.3M–122.4M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Shooter (5 of 8) and FPS (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Tactical.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 75.3M–122.4M
6.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.5M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Battlefield™ V
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$91.9M–$247.0M after Steam's cut $167.0M–$380.0M before the cut
$49.99
269k reviews
Mostly Positive
FPSMultiplayer
Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–34.0M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.9M–$308.8M after Steam's cut $208.9M–$475.1M before the cut
$19.99
428k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
Mirror
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before the cut
$1.99
84k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Far Cry® 5
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$94.6M–$254.3M after Steam's cut $171.9M–$391.2M before the cut
$59.99
189k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction-Adventure
Half-Life: Alyx
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$43.0M–$115.5M after Steam's cut $78.1M–$177.7M before the cut
$59.99
105k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRFPS
Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before the cut
$4.99
104k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production

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