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How many copies did The Frosts: First Ones sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut
from 57 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Frosts: First Ones out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Frosts: First Ones's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 319k–1.7M
best case 4.9M (Disco Elysium - The Final Cut)
Games like The Frosts: First Ones

The middle of these games

≈ 319k–1.7M copies

≈ $1.7M–$8.3M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Disco Elysium - The Final Cut at ≈ 3.8M–6.1M copies, ≈ $41.3M–$111.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Point & Click (8 of 8) and Story Rich (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $40.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Wolf Among Us
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.1M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.2M before the cut
$14.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureDetective
Deponia
2012
Est. copies
≈ 916k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before the cut
$9.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePoint & Click
Batman: The Enemy Within - The Telltale Series
2017
Est. copies
≈ 366k–595k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before the cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureStory Rich
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.1M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.3M–$111.1M after Steam's cut $75.1M–$170.9M before the cut
$39.99
130k reviews
Very Positive
Kathy Rain
2016
Est. copies
≈ 166k–271k
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$457k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $832k–$1.9M before the cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickAdventure
Ken Follett's The Pillars of the Earth
2017
Est. copies
≈ 261k–424k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before the cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterAdventure
Tangle Tower
2019
Est. copies
≈ 190k–309k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before the cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePoint & Click
No Case Should Remain Unsolved
2024
Est. copies
≈ 263k–427k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$505k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $918k–$2.1M before the cut
$6.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Interactive FictionPuzzle

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