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How many copies did Bread & Fred sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 129k–210k
$532k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $968k–$2.2M before the cut
from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Bread & Fred out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bread & Fred's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.1M–5.0M
best case 15.3M (Fall Guys)
Games like Bread & Fred

The middle of these games

≈ 3.1M–5.0M copies

≈ $18.4M–$30.4M after Steam's cut

from ~84k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Co-op (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Fall Guys at ≈ 11.6M–18.9M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 42k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 22k to 144k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Co-op (3 of 8) and Party Game (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game + Battle Royale. The breakout hits carry Battle Royale + Family Friendly + Massively Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Party Animals
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.7M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.4M before the cut
$19.99
79k reviews
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MultiplayerFunny
Overcooked! 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$17.5M–$47.2M after Steam's cut $31.9M–$72.6M before the cut
$24.99
84k reviews
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MultiplayerOnline Co-Op
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.6M before the cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Brotato
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.8M after Steam's cut $7.3M–$16.6M before the cut
$4.99
118k reviews
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Rogue-likeSingleplayer
Ultimate Chicken Horse
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.6M after Steam's cut $16.7M–$37.9M before the cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerParty
Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
5.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
469k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
Castle Crashers®
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.9M–14.4M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$36.6M–$98.3M after Steam's cut $66.5M–$151.2M before the cut
$14.99
140k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2DOnline Co-Op
Goat Simulator
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.7M before the cut
$9.99
70k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFunny

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