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How many copies did The Dawning sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 99–161
$136–$365 after Steam's cut $247–$562 before the cut
from 4 reviews (4 user reviews)
Thin evidence: 4 reviews. That range swings on one or two people, so read it as a hint, not a measurement.

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Dawning out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Dawning's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.1M–7.7M
best case 38.6M (Portal 2)
Games like The Dawning

The middle of these games

≈ 3.1M–7.7M copies

≈ $27.8M–$45.1M after Steam's cut

from ~124k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.4M–47.8M copies, ≈ $80.8M–$217.4M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 20k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 5k to 64k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (7 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$26.8M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.2M before the cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
Outer Wilds
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.2M–$48.9M after Steam's cut $33.1M–$75.3M before the cut
$24.99
107k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationSpace
The Talos Principle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.0M after Steam's cut $27.7M–$63.1M before the cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePhilosophical
Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.5M–20.4M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.5M–$92.6M after Steam's cut $62.6M–$142.5M before the cut
$9.99
198k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.4M–47.8M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$80.8M–$217.4M after Steam's cut $147.0M–$334.4M before the cut
$9.99
466k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Inscryption
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.2M–$54.3M after Steam's cut $36.7M–$83.5M before the cut
$19.99
148k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerCard Game
SOMA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.1M–$56.7M after Steam's cut $38.4M–$87.3M before the cut
$29.99
52k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MiSide
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.5M–$39.0M after Steam's cut $26.3M–$59.9M before the cut
$14.99
142k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

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