wishvane
How many copies did Outer Wilds sell?
Estimated copies sold
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
$19.0M–$51.0M net $34.5M–$78.4M gross
from 105k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Outer Wilds out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Outer Wilds's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 335k–807k
best case 1.4M (Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader)
The Atmospheric lane

A solid, mid-sized genre: most sell around 436k copies.

A typical game
≈ 436k copies
≈ $3.7M after Steam's cut
from ~10k reviews
Best case
≈ 1.4M copies
Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader · ≈ $27.9M after Steam's cut
from 46k reviews

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count; typical figures are medians per column, so they can come from different games.

The lane you'd be entering
  • Winners here lead with Character Customization + Cinematic, priced around $50.
  • The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, a lane with a long track record.
  • A typical game here lands in Diamond ($1M+ before Steam's cut, est.). Tiers: Chris Zukowski's benchmark tiers.

Similar games

2022
Est. copies
≈ 519k–843k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M net $4.7M–$10.6M gross
$17.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerPost-apocalyptic +6
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$15.1M–$40.7M net $27.5M–$62.6M gross
$49.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
Character CustomizationCinematic +6
2021
Est. copies
≈ 232k–376k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M net $2.9M–$6.6M gross
$24.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelEmotional +6
2021
Est. copies
≈ 129k–210k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$604k–$1.6M net $1.1M–$2.5M gross
$16.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericExploration +6
2019
Est. copies
≈ 272k–442k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.0M net $3.4M–$7.7M gross
$24.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureIndie +6
2024
Est. copies
≈ 901k–1.5M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.7M net $5.9M–$13.3M gross
$12.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Psychological HorrorStory Rich +6
2023
Est. copies
≈ 263k–428k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.8M net $4.0M–$9.0M gross
$29.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureRobots +6
2013
Est. copies
≈ 393k–638k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M net $2.9M–$6.7M gross
$14.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleSci-fi +6

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.

Copies and revenue are rough estimates from public review counts, not exact sales. Data from Steam and SteamSpy. About · Privacy · Examples