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How many copies did Paint Drying Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 10k–16k
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before the cut
from 400 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Paint Drying Simulator out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paint Drying Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–50k
best case 157k (Chill Pulse)
Games like Paint Drying Simulator

The middle of these games

≈ 3k–50k copies

≈ $7k–$94k after Steam's cut

from ~308 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Chill Pulse at ≈ 119k–194k copies, ≈ $164k–$441k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 74 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 18 to 930.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Utilities (8 of 8) and Idler (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Utilities + Simulation, priced around $5.
The era
6 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Cozy Space
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$16k–$42k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before the cut
$7.99
290 reviews
Very Positive
CasualSimulation
The Legend of Pomodoro
2026
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before the cut
$6.99
95 reviews
Very Positive
CasualIdler
LurkBait Twitch Fishing
2024
Est. copies
≈ 15k–25k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$29k–$78k after Steam's cut $53k–$120k before the cut
$7.00
610 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationCreature Collector
Cozy Time
2022
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before the cut
$2.99
325 reviews
Very Positive
CasualSimulation
Hot Springs | 温泉 (Onsen)
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before the cut
$3.99
54 reviews
Mostly Positive
IdlerUtilities
Chill Pulse
2024
Est. copies
≈ 119k–194k
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$164k–$441k after Steam's cut $298k–$678k before the cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualUtilities
Ropuka's Idle Island
2025
Est. copies
≈ 106k–172k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$116k–$312k after Steam's cut $211k–$479k before the cut
$3.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IdlerRelaxing
功德木鱼
2024
Est. copies
≈ 893–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$489–$1k after Steam's cut $889–$2k before the cut
$1.99
36 reviews
Positive
CasualSimulation

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.