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How many copies did METAL MAX Xeno Reborn sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11k–19k
$126k–$339k after Steam's cut $229k–$521k before the cut
from 462 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left METAL MAX Xeno Reborn out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including METAL MAX Xeno Reborn's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–10.3M
best case 27.2M (The Forest)
Games like METAL MAX Xeno Reborn

The middle of these games

≈ 3k–10.3M copies

≈ $21k–$158.3M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Open World (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.7M–33.6M copies, ≈ $113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 43 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2 to 5k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (3 of 8) and Action-Adventure (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.7M–33.6M
107x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut
$19.99
681k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
NieR:Automata™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
24x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.9M–$155.7M after Steam's cut $105.3M–$239.5M before the cut
$39.99
153k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Osteoblasts
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before the cut
$7.99
173 reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatAtmospheric
Like a Dragon Gaiden: The Man Who Erased His Name
2023
Est. copies
≈ 312k–508k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.8M before the cut
$49.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionBeat 'em up
Alchemist Adventure
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$13k–$36k after Steam's cut $24k–$55k before the cut
$14.99
130 reviews
Mostly Positive
Action-AdventureMedieval
Monster Hunter: World
2018
Est. copies
≈ 15.7M–25.5M
81x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$129.4M–$347.8M after Steam's cut $235.2M–$535.1M before the cut
$29.99
516k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
Percy's Last Stand
2019
Est. copies
≈ 86–140
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3 reviews
3 user reviews
AdventureSexual Content
The Hierophant
2022
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before the cut
$0.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
CasualParty-Based RPG

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.