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How many copies did Reflection sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 546–887
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before the cut
from 22 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Reflection out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Reflection's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14k–63k
best case 145k (The Entropy Centre)
Games like Reflection

The middle of these games

≈ 14k–63k copies

≈ $32k–$493k after Steam's cut

from ~618 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Entropy Centre at ≈ 110k–179k copies, ≈ $606k–$1.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (8 of 8) and Physics (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + First-Person, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 20k–50k
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2017
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$37k before the cut
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AdventurePuzzle
Quantum Conundrum
2012
Est. copies
≈ 136k–221k
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$336k–$903k after Steam's cut $611k–$1.4M before the cut
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Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
Time Lock VR 1
2017
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$98k–$263k after Steam's cut $178k–$404k before the cut
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795 reviews
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PuzzleHidden Object
The Entropy Centre
2022
Est. copies
≈ 110k–179k
7.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$606k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before the cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleFirst-Person
Gravity Field
2023
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$198k–$533k after Steam's cut $360k–$820k before the cut
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969 reviews
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PuzzleScience
Score a goal (Physical football)
2016
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≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $17k–$40k before the cut
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PuzzlePhysics
Redactem
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$25k–$68k after Steam's cut $46k–$104k before the cut
$4.99
440 reviews
Mixed
CasualIndie

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