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How many copies did 致命游戏-Lethal Gamble 1 Werewolf Puzzle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$525–$1k after Steam's cut $954–$2k before the cut
from 11 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left 致命游戏-Lethal Gamble 1 Werewolf Puzzle out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 致命游戏-Lethal Gamble 1 Werewolf Puzzle's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–30k
best case 307k (OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition)
Games like 致命游戏-Lethal Gamble 1 Werewolf Puzzle

The middle of these games

≈ 6k–30k copies

≈ $52k–$77k after Steam's cut

from ~485 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition at ≈ 234k–381k copies, ≈ $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 141 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 63 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Interactive Fiction (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Emotional, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Emotional + Anime + Female Protagonist; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
Only 1 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Draw
2023
Est. copies
≈ 21k–33k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
830 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGAction RPG
墨心:波云诡船
2020
Est. copies
≈ 35k–56k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$28k–$76k after Steam's cut $52k–$118k before the cut
$2.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureVisual Novel
OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 234k–381k
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before the cut
$24.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelEmotional
Paper Bride 3 Unresolved Love
2022
Est. copies
≈ 25k–40k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$68k–$182k after Steam's cut $123k–$281k before the cut
$9.99
996 reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationPuzzle-Platformer
当火车鸣笛三秒
2021
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$137k before the cut
$9.99
485 reviews
Mostly Positive
Interactive FictionWord Game
Scarlet Hood and the Wicked Wood
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$28k–$76k after Steam's cut $51k–$117k before the cut
$14.99
276 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureInteractive Fiction
戾谈
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
123 reviews
Mostly Positive
Horror2D Platformer
锦鱼图
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualInteractive Fiction

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