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wishvane

How big is Draw?

Estimated owners
≈ 21k–33k
from 830 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Draw out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Draw's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–23k
best case 591k (SCARLET NEXUS)
Games like Draw

The middle of these games

≈ 2k–23k copies

≈ $16k–$20k after Steam's cut

from ~192 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: SCARLET NEXUS at ≈ 450k–731k copies, ≈ $7.4M–$20.0M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 58 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 21 to 5k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action-Adventure (6 of 8) and Action RPG (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Anime + JRPG, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Anime + Sci-fi + JRPG; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
4 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this niche is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SCARLET NEXUS
2021
Est. copies
≈ 450k–731k
95x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$20.0M after Steam's cut $13.5M–$30.7M before the cut
$59.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeAction
I Am Jesus Christ: Prologue
2022
Est. copies
≈ 30k–48k
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionAdventure
Candice DeBébé's Incredibly Trick Lifestyle
2016
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before the cut
$4.99
192 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureRPG
Role Player: Full Immersion
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
216 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureRealistic
The Lost Legends of Redwall™: The Scout Anthology
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before the cut
$24.99
54 reviews
Very Positive
LinearAction
White Bridge
2024
Est. copies
≈ 942–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before the cut
$19.99
38 reviews
Positive
AdventureRPG
Chained in the Backrooms
2025
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$22k–$60k after Steam's cut $40k–$92k before the cut
$2.99
1k reviews
Mixed
Early AccessOnline Co-Op
Native Hunter
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before the cut
$17.99
69 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessAdventure

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