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How many copies did Momodora: Moonlit Farewell sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 81k–131k
$377k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $686k–$1.6M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Momodora: Moonlit Farewell out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Momodora: Moonlit Farewell's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.7M–4.3M
best case 25.3M (Hollow Knight)
Games like Momodora: Moonlit Farewell

The middle of these games

≈ 2.7M–4.3M copies

≈ $25.8M–$70.5M after Steam's cut

from ~71k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Hollow Knight at ≈ 19.2M–31.3M copies, ≈ $79.3M–$213.3M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 23k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 15k to 27k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Metroidvania (5 of 8) and Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Difficult + Indie + Souls-like; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ori and the Blind Forest
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackAtmospheric
Blasphemous
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.2M–$35.6M after Steam's cut $24.1M–$54.7M before the cut
$24.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaPixel Graphics
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.2M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.4M–$149.0M after Steam's cut $100.7M–$229.2M before the cut
$39.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
Skul: The Hero Slayer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.1M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.5M before the cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.3M–$43.9M after Steam's cut $29.7M–$67.6M before the cut
$19.99
71k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack
Ori and the Will of the Wisps
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.9M–$80.3M after Steam's cut $54.3M–$123.5M before the cut
$29.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulMetroidvania
Hollow Knight
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.2M–31.3M
7.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$79.3M–$213.3M after Steam's cut $144.2M–$328.1M before the cut
$14.99
559k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$41.0M–$110.2M after Steam's cut $74.5M–$169.5M before the cut
$69.99
86k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionAdventure

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