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How many copies did Rusted Moss sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 42k–68k
$231k–$622k after Steam's cut $421k–$958k before the cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Rusted Moss out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rusted Moss's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 814k–1.8M
best case 5.8M (Celeste)
Games like Rusted Moss

The middle of these games

≈ 814k–1.8M copies

≈ $3.9M–$12.6M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.4M–7.2M copies, ≈ $24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on 2D Platformer (7 of 8) and Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
8.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut $44.5M–$101.2M before the cut
$19.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Katana ZERO
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.2M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.3M before the cut
$14.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsAction
MapleStory
2012
Est. copies
≈ 975k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Mixed
MMORPG2D Platformer
Thomas Was Alone
2012
Est. copies
≈ 593k–964k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before the cut
$9.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerNarration
SANABI
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.3M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$19.0M before the cut
$14.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsStory Rich
Night in the Woods
2017
Est. copies
≈ 695k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.8M before the cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichAdventure
Braid
2009
Est. copies
≈ 629k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before the cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
Anomaly Agent
2024
Est. copies
≈ 248k–403k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$817k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before the cut
$11.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Action Roguelike2D Platformer

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