How much revenue did Celeste make?

$24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Celeste sell?

Q: How many copies did Celeste sell?

4.4M to 7.2M copies, based on its 146k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4.4M–7.2M; $24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut $44.5M–$101.2M before the cut; from 146k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Celeste out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Celeste's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.9M–19.2M

best case 128.5M (Terraria)

Games like Celeste

The middle of these games

≈ 8.9M–19.2M copies

≈ $55.6M–$125.1M after Steam's cut

from ~291k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Sandbox (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Terraria at ≈ 97.9M–159.1M copies, ≈ $269.0M–$723.1M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Sandbox (4 of 8) and Survival (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Life Sim, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Farming Sim + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Stardew Valley 2016	Est. copies ≈ 43.0M–69.9M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $177.4M–$476.9M after Steam's cut $322.5M–$733.6M before the cut	$14.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Farming SimPixel Graphics
People Playground 2019	Est. copies ≈ 9.1M–14.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $25.1M–$67.5M after Steam's cut $45.7M–$103.9M before the cut	$9.99	317k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxGore
Factorio 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.8M–9.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $55.8M–$150.2M after Steam's cut $101.5M–$231.0M before the cut	$35.00	234k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationBase-Building
Undertale 2015	Est. copies ≈ 16.5M–26.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut $82.4M–$187.6M before the cut	$9.99	338k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Great SoundtrackStory Rich
RimWorld 2018	Est. copies ≈ 7.5M–12.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $71.8M–$193.1M after Steam's cut $130.6M–$297.1M before the cut	$34.99	246k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
Vampire Survivors 2022	Est. copies ≈ 6.6M–10.7M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $9.0M–$24.2M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.3M before the cut	$4.99	265k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Terraria 2011	Est. copies ≈ 97.9M–159.1M 5.3x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $269.0M–$723.1M after Steam's cut $489.0M–$1112.5M before the cut	$9.99	1.5M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSandbox
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth 2014	Est. copies ≈ 25.2M–41.0M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $104.0M–$279.6M after Steam's cut $189.1M–$430.1M before the cut	$14.99	450k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-like