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How many copies did [Chilla's Art] The Closing Shift | 閉店事件 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 79k–129k
$131k–$351k after Steam's cut $237k–$540k before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left [Chilla's Art] The Closing Shift | 閉店事件 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including [Chilla's Art] The Closing Shift | 閉店事件's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 51.8M–109.5M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like [Chilla's Art] The Closing Shift | 閉店事件

The middle of these games

≈ 51.8M–109.5M copies

≈ $241.0M–$632.0M after Steam's cut

from ~1.3M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Physics (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Physics (4 of 8) and Simulation (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
The era
The games you compared span 2006 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2018
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≈ 30.8M–50.0M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Garry's Mod
2006
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≈ 79.8M–129.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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$219.1M–$589.2M after Steam's cut $398.4M–$906.5M before the cut
$9.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxModdable
PBA Pro Bowling
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too small to compare
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$22k–$60k after Steam's cut $41k–$93k before the cut
$14.99
189 reviews
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SportsSimulation
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
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Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Rust
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≈ 42.4M–68.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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$466.2M–$1253.5M after Steam's cut $847.6M–$1928.4M before the cut
$39.99
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Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting
AVATARIKA
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too small to compare
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too small to compare
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≈ 570–927
too small to compare
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$4.99
23 reviews
Positive
Bowling3D Platformer

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