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wishvane

How many copies did Touhou Hero of Ice Fairy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 226k–367k
$435k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $790k–$1.8M before the cut
from 9k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Touhou Hero of Ice Fairy out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Touhou Hero of Ice Fairy's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 127k–216k
best case 6.9M (NieR:Automata™)
Games like Touhou Hero of Ice Fairy

The middle of these games

≈ 127k–216k copies

≈ $1.3M–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Your picks lean toward this genre's biggest survivors; the typical figure reads from its ordinary successes.

Best case: NieR:Automata™ at ≈ 5.3M–8.6M copies, ≈ $57.9M–$155.7M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 931 to 16k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Bullet Hell (7 of 8) and Female Protagonist (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Side Scroller, priced around $18. The breakout hits carry Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Touhou Luna Nights
2019
Est. copies
≈ 430k–699k
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before the cut
$17.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MetroidvaniaDifficult
HoloCure - Save the Fans!
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
9.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsBullet Hell
TEVI
2023
Est. copies
≈ 100k–163k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$829k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before the cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaAnime
Touhou Hero of Ice Fairy: Prologue
2021
Est. copies
≈ 84k–137k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction
Rabi-Ribi
2016
Est. copies
≈ 510k–829k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before the cut
$17.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeMetroidvania
Touhou Tenkuushou ~ Hidden Star in Four Seasons.
2017
Est. copies
≈ 156k–254k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$644k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before the cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellGreat Soundtrack
NieR:Automata™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
36x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.9M–$155.7M after Steam's cut $105.3M–$239.5M before the cut
$39.99
153k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Dragonia
2017
Est. copies
≈ 191k–310k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity

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